Race-Week Taper Formula
Tapering reduces training volume sharply while keeping intensity high. Mujika & Padilla's 2003 meta-analysis (n=27 studies) found 41-60% volume reduction over 8-14 days produces a ~3% performance improvement — non-trivial in racing. Cutting intensity instead of volume undoes most of the gain. The taper is a withdraw of fatigue, not fitness.
Formula
Copy the exact expression or work through it step by step below.
taper_volume(t) = peak_volume × (1 − r)^(t / τ)
r = 0.5 (50% target reduction, fits 41-60% range)
τ = days until race / ln(2)
intensity kept at 90-100% throughout Variables
peak_volume
Peak training volume
Highest weekly volume during build phase (km, hours, or distance equivalent). The taper starts from here.
r
Volume reduction target
Fraction of peak volume to remove by race day. 0.41-0.60 per meta-analysis. Most studies cluster at 50%. Beginners take more (60-70%); elites take less (30-40%).
τ
Taper time constant
Decay rate. Computed from total taper length. Most evidence supports 8-14 days for marathon, 7-10 days for half marathon, 4-7 days for 5K-10K.
intensity
Training intensity
Pace, power, or RPE. Hold at 90-100% of race intensity through the taper. Cutting intensity (the common mistake) erodes fitness; cutting volume preserves it while clearing fatigue.
Step By Step
- 1
Identify peak weekly volume from your build phase (the highest week, not average).
Marathon training peaked at 80 km/week.
- 2
Choose taper length. Marathon: 14 days. Half: 10 days. 10K: 7 days. 5K: 5 days.
Marathon → 14-day taper, starting 2 weeks out.
- 3
Compute taper volume per week: 0.6 × peak, 0.4 × peak (race week).
Week −2: 0.6 × 80 = 48 km. Week −1 (race week): 0.4 × 80 = 32 km.
- 4
Keep intensity workouts. Hold marathon pace tempo + intervals through Week −2; do one short tempo Week −1.
Week −2: 8 km @ marathon pace + intervals. Week −1: 4 km @ marathon pace + jog easy.
- 5
Race week: 2-3 easy runs + 1 short tempo. Day −2: 4 km easy. Day −1: rest or 20-min jog.
Mon easy 6 km, Tue tempo 4 km, Wed easy 5 km, Thu jog 30 min, Fri rest, Sat shake-out 3 km, Sun race.
Worked Example
Marathon runner peaking at 80 km/week, race in 14 days
Peak volume
80 km/week
Taper length
14 days
Reduction target
50%
Week −2 (days 14-8 out): 80 × 0.60 = 48 km. Intensity: marathon-pace tempo + 6×800m interval session. Week −1 (days 7-1 out): 80 × 0.40 = 32 km. Intensity: one short tempo + easy aerobic. Week of race: 80 × 0.20 = 16 km plus the race itself.
Expected outcome: 2-3% faster race time than no-taper baseline. Common mistake: cutting volume to 80% and intensity to 60% — that's a 'detraining mini-block' rather than a taper. Keep the spice, lose the bulk.
Common Variations
Try These Tools
Run the numbers next
Running Pace Calculator
Calculate pace per km and mile and project race finish times from one run.
Race Time Predictor
Race Time predictor: predict finish times across 5K, 10K, half marathon, and marathon from any known race result using Riegel's formula.
Marathon Pace + Elevation Calculator
Convert a target marathon time on a hilly course into the flat-equivalent pace you actually need.
Sources & References
- Mujika & Padilla (2003). Scientific bases for precompetition tapering strategies. — Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise — the foundational meta-analysis (n=27 studies)
- Bosquet et al. (2007). Effects of tapering on performance: a meta-analysis. — Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise — confirms ~3% performance improvement
- Burke et al. (2011). Carbohydrates for training and competition. — Journal of Sports Sciences — carb-loading dose during taper
- Pyne et al. (2009). Peaking for optimal performance: research limitations and future directions. — Journal of Sports Sciences — practical taper recommendations